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As I review the last 12 months, as a hedge fund manager I get a lot of data cross my desk, and for the next 12 months this is my take as founder of Pips Predator on ‘will the stock market rally?’
This chart from JP Morgan Asset Management will give you a good insight.
Pips Predator by Alpesh Patel Reviews The Stock Market Rally
My views on the above charts/images – although the odds are against it due to valuation, given Covid and loose monetary and fiscal policy some stocks will do very well and it is those to focus on. It’s certainly not a case of stay clear of the market. My 3x leverage S&P500 will not do as well as it did in 2000 though perhaps but I am not selling it and cashing out just yet!
See www.investing-champions.com to keep updated.
Alpesh Patel
Data source:
Source: Compustat, FactSet, Federal Reserve, Standard & Poor’s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Dividend yield is calculated as consensus estimates of dividends for the next 12 months, divided by most recent price, as provided by Compustat. Forward price to earnings ratio is a bottom-up calculation based on the most recent S&P 500 Index price, divided by consensus estimates for earnings in the next 12 months (NTM), and is provided by FactSet Market Aggregates. Returns are cumulative and based on S&P 500 Index price movement only, and do not include the reinvestment of dividends. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of November 30, 2020.
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